Based on historical data, there is a possibility of a price surge for Ethereum (ETH) in the first quarter of 2025, but analysts have different opinions on this. Some analysts predict that the capital inflow into Ethereum spot ETFs has been positive in 22 out of the last 24 trading days in 2024. Some analysts anticipate these trends to increase even more during the Trump administration. Historical data shows that in the first quarters of 2017 and 2021, after Bitcoin halving and the U.S. elections, Ethereum had the best performance. During these periods, Ethereum grew by 518 and 161 percent respectively, outperforming Bitcoin’s growth. Farside reports that Ethereum spot ETFs are one of the main factors driving this growth, with over $2.5 billion in net inflows in the recent 24 trading days. It is predicted that these inflows will exceed $50 billion by 2025. In this regard, the senior manager of ZX Squared Capital investment company believes that the Trump administration, with crypto-friendly regulations, will strengthen the inflow trends. However, Marcus Tilenn, founder of 10x Research, holds a more conservative view. He believes that economic contraction conditions may hinder market growth. The crypto market has dropped by about 12 percent after the Federal Reserve’s interest rate reduction events in 2025, reaching a value of $3.41 trillion. The Federal Reserve interest rate may rise to 3.9 percent, which could be unfavorable for high-risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Tilenn predicts that Bitcoin’s price will reach $160,000 in the best-case scenario, but will likely stabilize at $125,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $93,730 and Ethereum at $3,420.
